Monthly Archives: February 2012

2011 SAM AWARDS Finalists Announced

Update, April 15, 2012: click here to view list of Winners

Canadian Home Builders’ Association – Calgary Region is proud to announce the full list of finalists for the 2011 SAM Awards. The SAM Awards, now in its 25th year, celebrate innovation and excellence in the Calgary and area’s residential construction industry. The winners will receive their awards at the SAM Awards Gala on Saturday, April 14, 2012 at the Telus Convention Centre.

The award categories are:

  • Advertising & Marketing Awards
  • Developer Awards
  • Industry Achievement
  • Multi-Family Awards
  • New Home Awards
  • Partner Awards
  • Renovator Awards
  • Sales Achievement Awards
  • Sales & Information Centre Awards, and the
  • GRAND SAM Awards. GRAND SAM Awards are presented to the Builder, Renovator and Partner that have demonstrated a superior achievement in design, sales, advertising and/or service.

To view the press release with all the finalists, click here (PDF)

February 1-28, 2012 Calgary Real Estate Update

With 2012 being a leap year, I wanted to do a quick year-over-year comparison of 28 days of February. CREB will be releasing the full month-end statistics tomorrow.

Single Family Homes

Sales MTD in February are the highest since 2007 with 1201. That’s an increase of +3.71% from last year. The average price is up +1.65% from $462,142 to $469,787.

While sales have been increasing, new listings have declined -14.43%. Last February at this time there were 2,245 new properties listed. So far this month we’re up to 1,921.

(click to enlarge image)

Condominiums

427 units have sold compared to 465 last year, a decline of -8%. The extra day this month will narrow that gap some. The weakness lies with the apartment-style condos since townhomes sales are actually up +6.52%; Apt-style sales are down nearly -18%.

(click to enlarge image)


-

For more statistics, visit my webpage here

-

House Price Index (HPI): December 2011

Calgary prices rose in December ending a run of three monthly declines according Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index released today.

Calgary’s index was up +0.7% between November and December. Of the cities tracked, it was the second highest m/m increase following Halifax’s gain of 0.9%. Year-over-year, Calgary house prices were up 0.9%

From Teranet:

For a second consecutive month, Canadian home prices in December were down 0.2% from the previous month, according to the Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index™. The two monthly retreats follow two months in which prices had been flat from the month before. December prices were down in five of the 11 metropolitan markets surveyed

Source: www.housepriceindex.ca

Bank of Canada On Rising Debt & House Prices

The Bank of Canada released a special report entitled, “Household Finances and Financial Stability,” which examines two interrelated facts: the steady increase in Canadian household indebtedness in recent decades, and the upward trend in real house prices in Canada since 2000. Rising house prices could lead to the accumulation of debt, and abrupt movements in either factor can influence the financial health of households, which are a central part of Canada’s economy.

The entire report is here

Below is the breakdown on some key research

Medium-Term Fluctuations in Canadian House Prices
Bank of Canada Review Article by Brian Peterson, Yi Zheng

Summary: This article draws on theory and empirical evidence to examine a number of factors behind movements in Canadian house prices. It begins with an overview of the movements in house prices in Canada, using regional data to highlight factors that influence prices over the long run. It then turns to the central theme, that there are medium-run movements in prices not accounted for by long-run factors. Drawing on recent Bank of Canada research, the article discusses several factors behind these medium-run movements, including interest rates, expected price appreciation and market liquidity.

Household Borrowing and Spending in Canada
Bank of Canada Review Article by Jeannine Bailliu, Katya Kartashova, Césaire Meh

Summary: Understanding how much of the increased debt load of Canadian households has been used to finance household spending on consumption and home renovation is important for the conduct of monetary policy. In this article, the authors use a comprehensive data set that provides information on the uses of debt by Canadian households. They first present some facts regarding the evolution of Canadian household debt over the period from 1999 to 2010, emphasizing the increased importance of debt flows that are secured by housing. They then explore how Canadian households have used their borrowed funds over the same period, and assess the role of these borrowed funds in financing total consumption and spending on home renovation. Finally, they examine the possible effects of a decline in house prices on consumption when housing equity is used as collateral against household indebtedness.

What Explains Trends in Household Debt in Canada?
Bank of Canada Review Article by Allan Crawford, Umar Faruqui

Summary: Similar to the experiences in many other countries, household indebtedness in Canada has exhibited an upward trend over the past 30 years. Both mortgage and non-mortgage (consumer) credit have contributed to this development. In this article, the authors use microdata to highlight the main factors underlying the strong trend increase since the late 1990s. Favourable housing affordability, owing to factors such as income growth and low interest rates, has supported significant increases in home-ownership rates and mortgage debt. Much of the rise in consumer credit has been facilitated by higher housing values (used as collateral for loans) and financial innovation that makes it easier for households to access this credit.

-
Related news article:

Globe & Mail: Bank of Canada issues fresh warning on debt

February 1-21, 2012 Calgary Real Estate Update

As of February 6, 2012, in order to align CREB’s data with the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) there have been several changes made to the data that CREB reports, as well as the upcoming monthly statistics package.

Changes to the data were made to better reflect “Residential” sales. These changes not only provide a better residential picture, they are more consistent with how CREA and the HPI report our housing statistics.

Changes:

-only includes sales by members in Zones A, B, C, D.
-excludes following sales:

  • Vacant lots
  • Time shares
  • Parking stalls
  • Mobile homes

Condominiums have been separated into Condominium Apartments and Condominium Townhouse. Condominium Apartment – includes all “Condominium” title properties that are classified by type as either a low-rise or high-rise apartment. Condominium Townhouse – include all “condominium” titled properties that are not classified as an “Apartment”.

-

I will continue to report on both calculation methods on my stats page.  You’ll notice however, that CREB’s new method actually reduces the total amount of sales.

Old/new calculation comparison for February 1-21, 2012

And with the switch to the HPI, the increase in average price that results (removing vacant lots, mobile homes) should be a non-issue.  In any case, you’ll have all the statistics at your disposal on this site and Bob Truman’s so you can track whichever method you prefer. For condominiums, you won’t see much of a difference with the new calculation besides having to add townhomes & apt-style sales to find the total. There were those very few times a parking unit sold, etc.

For the weekly updates, I will be posting information using CREB’s new method so that at least my stats jive with the official report.

-

In the first 3 weeks of February, Calgary single family home sales (SFH) totaled 875, up +4.7% compared to the same time period last year.

(click to enlarge image)

This increase comes despite pending figures being down over 30%, indicating that far more conditional sales are going unreported than the “very rare instance” that CREB had envisioned.   Either many sellers are taking advantage of this new rule, or some industry members mistook the directive and think that all C/S are to be unreported.   Whatever the case, I’m sad to see this statistic rendered useless as it was nice to have a short-term indicator of future activity.

Calgary Condominium

Condo sales are down -4.6% y/y month-to-date with 326. Now that CREB breaks out condos to apartment style and townhomes we can see where the weaker condo segment is.

Apt-style sales are down -13.78% while townhomes have shown an increase of +9.23%.

(click to enlarge)

For more Calgary real estate statistics, visit my website:

-