Daily Archives: December 30, 2009

House Price Index: October 2009

For the first time in almost a year house prices in Canada showed a year-over-year increase. Canadian house prices were up 0.6% from October of last year and up 1.3% from last month. Prices have increased by 1% or more for the last 5 months in a row.

In October, however, the monthly rise varied significantly among the six metropolitan markets surveyed:

Metropolitan area Index level
October 2009
% change m/m % change y/y
Calgary 155.54 0.8 % -3.6 %
Halifax 124.02 0.4 % 3.1 %
Montreal 126.43 0.3 % 3.4 %
Ottawa 121.88 0.3 % 3.1 %
Toronto 117.43 1.6 % 2.3 %
Vancouver 144.47 1.8 % -2.2 %
National Composite 129.52 1.3 % 0.6 %

Interesting points:

  • Toronto is now the fourth market to top its pre-recession summit (August 2008). Toronto prices fell 11.3% over the eight months from that peak through last April and then climbed 12.9% (an annual rate of 27.4%) over the six months to October, recovering the lost ground and a bit more.
  • Only two markets are still showing 12-month deflation:  Calgary at -3.6% and Vancouver at -2.2%.
  • In Vancouver, October prices were still down 4.1% from the peak of June 2008.
  • In Calgary, October prices were still down 11.3% from the peak of August 2007.

click to enlarge

The historical data of the Teranet – National Bank House Price Index™ is available at www.housepriceindex.ca.