Monthly Archives: September 2008

Days On Market (DOM) stat and Calgary’s market today

The DOM stat tells you how long a property has been listed before it Sold.   It can be a useful tool, as it allows you to see which properties are new, or those that have been floundering on the market for a longer period of time and could be more receptive to a lower offer.

However, in today’s Calgary market the DOM stat is all but useless.  Let me explain:

Last year in August 2007, the average single family home was on the market 39 days (Source)  Last month in August, the average DOM was 52.   Considering inventory is higher and sales volumes are lower, you would think that taking 13 days longer to sell a house is not so bad.   That’s true – if the 52 DOM stat were completely accurate.

When you list your house with a Realtor, there is an expiry date to your listing contract.  Two things can happen:  1) You can extend your listing contract to a later date, or 2) You can let the listing expire, and then relist.   Why would you want to relist it?  Perhaps you’ve decided to work with another Realtor, or maybe just didn’t get the extension signed in time.  In any case, the DOM clock resets back to zero when a property expires and is relisted.  (Some purposefully let it expire because when it is relisted all the email auto-notifiers get sent out and it’s advertised in CREN under the new listings section again)

In the past few years, when properties were actually selling in 60 days or less, the DOM stat was quite accurate.  But now with close to 5 monthly supply inventory, homes are expiring and getting relisted frequently, skewing the DOM stat.

Just some examples – looking at homes that sold yesterday (September 17th):

Property 1
Originally listed on February 28th.  Expired twice, and sold on September 17th. 
DOM: 62
Actual DOM: 202

Property 2
Originally listed on April 21.  Expired once, was terminated once, and sold on September 17th.
DOM: 19
Actual DOM: 135
(I even subtracted the few days in between the expiration/termination date and when it was relisted to make it more accurate)

Property 3
Originally listed on April 28th, expired once, sold on September 17th.
DOM: 16
Actual DOM: 142

Those are just 3 examples I found in the first 8 listings that sold. 

Sellers: Don’t look at the DOM stat and try to gauge the length of time your house will be on the market.  Chances are it will take longer to sell than that unless you’re priced very aggressively.

Buyers:  Ask your Realtor to tell you the date it was originally listed.  You’ll have a much better idea of how long the property has been listed for.

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If you’re thinking of buying or selling, feel free to contact me.  

Visit FindCalgary.ca to search for properties in Calgary & area, view daily MLS stats, recent news, and more!

Mike Fotiou
First Place Realty
Direct: (403) 554-2284

Mike Fotiou is a licensed Realtor®, Accredited Buyer’s Representative®, and Certified Condominium Specialist.

Case-Shiller Index: Calgary Single Family Homes sold on September 15th 2008

46 SFH properties sold in metro-Calgary on September 15th.  24 of them had no previous sales on MLS.  Below are the remaining 22 properties, and their previously sold amounts and dates.

Property 1
September 2008 sold: $298,000
April 2002 sold: $160,000

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Property 2
September 2008 sold: $295,000
March 2000 sold: $128,000

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Property 3
September 2008 sold: $303,000
November 2002 sold: $172,000

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Property 4
September 2008 sold: $315,000
June 2005 sold: $192,500
September 2003 sold: $179,000
January 1998 sold: $125,900

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Property 5
September 2008 sold: $330,000
January 2007 sold: $330,000

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Property 6
September 2008 sold: $340,000
June 2005 sold: $211,000

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Property 7
September 2008 sold: $355,000
May 2005 sold: $226,500

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Property 8
September 2008 sold: $358,500
June 2004 sold: $194,000

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Property 9
September 2008 sold: $355,000
February 2005 sold:  $208,000
October 2002 sold: $189,900
April 2001 sold: $166,000

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Property 10
September 2008 sold: $373,000
February 2004 sold: $206,000

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Property 11
September 2008 sold: $382,000
January 2002 sold: $174,000

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Property 12
September 2008 sold:  $388,000
March 2000 sold: $184,000
April 1999 sold:  $162,500

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Property 13
September 2008 sold: $385,000
June 1999 sold: $148,000

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Property 14
September 2008 sold: $391,000
March 2002 sold: $213,900

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Property 15
September 2008 sold: $420,000
February 2007 sold: $453,500
April 2006 sold: $400,000
October 2004 sold: $266,000
July 2002 sold:  $189,000
August 1999 sold: $172,000

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Property 16
September 2008 sold: $388,000
April 2002 sold: $272,000

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Property 17
September 2008 sold: $437,000
May 2008 sold: $459,800

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Property 18
September 2008 sold: $422,000
January 2001 sold: $210,000

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Property 19
September 2008 sold: $478,000
April 2005 sold: $259,900

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Property 20
September 2008 sold: $495,000
March 2001 sold: $244,000

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Property 21
September 2008 sold: $495,000
August 2006 sold: $507,500

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Property 22
September 2008 sold: $1.24M
February 1999 sold: $520,000

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What is the Case-Shiller Index?

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices began as a research project in the 1980’s when Karl E. Case and Robert J. Shiller began to construct a methodology to measure housing price movement. They developed the repeat sales pricing technique which measures the movement in price of single-family homes in certain regions. When a specific home is resold, months or years later, the new sale price is matched to the home’s first sale price. The indices are designed to be a reliable and consistent benchmark of housing prices in the United States. Their purpose is to measure the average change in single-family home prices in a particular geographic market.  (SOURCE)

Unfortunately, such an index does not exist here in Canada.

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If you’re thinking of buying or selling, feel free to contact me.  

Visit FindCalgary.ca to search for properties in Calgary & area, view daily MLS stats, recent news, and more!

Mike Fotiou
First Place Realty
Direct: (403) 554-2284

Mike Fotiou is a licensed Realtor®, Accredited Buyer’s Representative®, and Certified Condominium Specialist.

When buying, use a Realtor® with an Accredited Buyer’s Representative® designation

Why should you work with an Accredited Buyer’s Representative when you’re looking to buy your home?

The answer is really quite simple.

When you work with an ABR®-designated agent (such as myself) your interests as a buyer become the interests of your ABR®.  ABR®’s have experience with buyers (ie. involved in at least 5 buyer-side only transactions) , ongoing education, & professional development so that you, the BUYER, are well represented and that your home-buying experience goes as smoothly as possible.

Home sellers have always been represented by an agent that is looking to get the highest price for their client.  When you work me, I’ll be representing you – and only you – in the transaction.  The Offer to Purchase is written up to protect and further YOUR interests.

Some think that both real estate agents are only trying to sell the property, so the buyer is almost always at a disadvantage.  Sure, the seller’s agent is trying to sell his clients property.  That’s his job.  As an ABR®, I would also like you to buy a house – but not just any specific home.  I’ll work with you to find the home that fits your budget, needs & wants – and all without sales pressure.  It’s my job to represent you, the buyer, throughout the entire process and do it in a friendly, professional way so that you’ll recommend me to your friends and family.

(Personal note: when selling a property, I have a personal policy that I do not wish to represent the buyer AND the seller in the SAME transaction.  I feel that I cannot fairly give advice and negotiate strongly for my seller, and at the same time get the best possible price for my buyer.   ”Dual Agency” as it’s called, allows for the agent to represent both parties, but of course having to keep confidential matters such as price, motivation, and other personal info.   There is nothing wrong with Dual Agency, and many agents can successfully close a transaction with both parties being happy with the end result.  As I said, it’s just a personal policy of mine to avoid that situation, even though that means losing a whole side of the commission.)

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, feel free to contact me.  

Visit FindCalgary.ca to search for properties in Calgary & area, view daily MLS stats, recent news, and more!

Mike Fotiou
First Place Realty
Direct: (403) 554-2284

Mike Fotiou is a licensed Realtor®, Accredited Buyer’s Representative®, and Certified Condominium Specialist.

Case-Shiller Index: Calgary Condos sold on September 10th 2008

What is the Case-Shiller Index?

S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices began as a research project in the 1980’s when Karl E. Case and Robert J. Shiller began to construct a methodology to measure housing price movement. They developed the repeat sales pricing technique which measures the movement in price of single-family homes in certain regions. When a specific home is resold, months or years later, the new sale price is matched to the home’s first sale price. The indices are designed to be a reliable and consistent benchmark of housing prices in the United States. Their purpose is to measure the average change in single-family home prices in a particular geographic market.  (SOURCE)

Unfortunately, such an index does not exist here in Canada.  From time-to-time, I will publish the previous days sales with any sold history for those that are interested.

Today’s data is from condominiums sold in metro-Calgary on September 10th 2008 (21 properties total)

Note:  Technically, the Case-Shiller Index does not include condominiums or new construction.

Property 1
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 2
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 3
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 4
September 2008 sold: $211,500
April 2006 sold: $185,000
March 2004 sold: $126,000
October 2002 sold: $119,000

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Property 5
September 2008 sold: $224,250
November 1999 sold: $107,350

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Property 6
September 2008 sold: $222,000
May 1998 sold: $108,000

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Property 7
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 8
September 2008 sold: $233,750
September 2002 sold: $132,500

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Property 9
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 10
September 2008 sold:  $236,000
July 2005 sold: $150,000

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Property 11
September 2008 sold: $247,000
February 2003 sold: $138,000

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Property 12
September 2008 sold: $249,000
July 2005 sold: $153,900

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Property 13
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 14
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 15
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 16
September 2008 sold: $299,900
May 2003 sold: $196,000

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Property 17
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 18
September 2008 sold: $345,000
November 2003 sold: $203,000

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Property 19
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 20
No previous sales on MLS

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Property 21
September 2008 sold: $510,000
August 2007 sold: $545,000
April 2005 sold: $438,000
February 2002 sold: $196,500

 

Let me know if you find this type of information useful or interesting, and I’ll try to post Case-Shiller type information more often.